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Kremlin says US will not be at the centre of ‘new world order’


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Published On 23 Oct 202323 Oct 2023

Russia has criticised the United States president’s assertion that Washington must be the driving force in a new “world order”, saying such an “American-centric” vision is outdated.

Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov told reporters on Monday that while he agrees on the need for a “new world order”, he does not believe the US should be at the helm. Any new system should be “free from the concentration of all mechanisms of world governance in the hands of one state”, he said.

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Peskov was responding to a speech US President Joe Biden delivered on Friday in which he addressed the US engagement in foreign crises from Ukraine and Taiwan to Israel.

During his remarks, Biden said the “world order” of the past half-century was “running out of steam” and America needed to “unite the world” in a new order to forge peace.

“I think we have a real opportunity to unite the world in a way it hasn’t been in a long time and enhance the prospect of peace, not diminish the prospect of peace,” Biden said.

Peskov responded: “In this part we disagree because the United States, … no matter what world order they talk about, they mean an American-centric world order, that is, a world that revolves around the United States. It won’t be that way anymore.”

Deepening chasm

The clash of words reflects a deepening chasm between the two global superpowers, which are bitterly opposed over Russia’s war in Ukraine and Moscow’s blooming alliances with American archrivals such as Iran and North Korea.

Since Russia invaded Ukraine in February 2022, the US has imposed wide-reaching sanctions on Kremlin-linked individuals and entities, and supplied Ukraine with tens of billions of dollars in humanitarian, financial and military aid.

Biden in recent remarks has also frequently drawn comparisons between Russian President Vladimir Putin and Hamas, the Palestinian group governing the Gaza Strip that the US has designated a “terrorist” organisation, saying they both pose threats to neighbouring democracies.

“Hamas and Putin represent different threats, but they share this in common: They both want to annihilate a neighbouring democracy,” Biden said in an Oval Office address on Thursday.

Source: Al Jazeera and news agencies


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Why no one is stopping Israel


Israel’s military response to Hamas’ October 7 attack is causing widespread international outrage, which was crystallized this week in a U.N. Security Council resolution calling for “urgent and extended humanitarian pauses and corridors” in Gaza for “a sufficient number” of days to allow full, rapid, safe and unimpeded access for U.N. agencies and their partners. The resolution is binding; however, nothing guarantees that this will happen. Now, as at other times in the past — when, for example, Israel was urged to stop its colonization of Palestinian territories — the international community is not effectively imposing its will on the Israeli state. Why?

The High Representative of the European Union for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy, Josep Borrell, said on Friday in Ramallah (West Bank) that what is currently happening in Gaza “is the consequence of a political and moral failure of the international community,” which for decades has theoretically supported a two-state solution without doing “what it should have” to make it “a reality.” Borrell insisted that because of this failure, “the Israeli and Palestinian people are paying a high price.”

This general statement has specific derivations once applied to the Israeli side, the dominant force in the conflict and occupying power. From this point of view, the United States has a relevant share of responsibility in the collective failure mentioned by Borrell. The support and protection of Washington — the only actor with real influence over Israel, in view of the fundamental military support it provides, and with veto power in the Security Council — is an essential key to understanding Israel’s margin for action. European countries also bear responsibility, but less so because of their lesser capacity to influence Israel.

The position of a hegemonic force like the U.S. and the institutional design of the U.N. — which prevents it from being effective in security matters unless there is consensus among its members — explain why, although large majorities in the General Assembly or even in the U.N. Security Council have condemned Israel’s actions, this political will has not had any real consequences on the round. Washington has at times let resolutions pass that have been uncomfortable for its ally, but it has never exerted or permitted substantial pressure to fully achieve certain objectives, be they humanitarian pauses, a halt to colonization or the establishment of a Palestinian state.

In the current crisis, Israel suffered a barbaric attack by Hamas that gave it the right to self-defense. The manner in which this is being carried out is causing immense human suffering, through tactics of collective punishment that many experts consider to be war crimes. Despite international pressure, Israel continues with its massive bombardments and siege on the Gaza Strip, which allows only a tiny amount of basic products such as food, water, or fuel to pass through. The episode is just the latest in Israel’s long pattern of excesses and abuses in its legitimate attempt to guarantee its security.

Here are some clues and data to delve deeper into the question of the leverage that various international actors have over Israel’s actions and why they have not used it to its fullest extent.

The protection of the U.S.

The history of the State of Israel cannot be understood without the active support of the United States, which has been supporting and protecting the Jewish State for decades.

Whether for genuine political and moral convictions (wanting to defend a safe home for the people who suffered the most tremendous persecution in the history of mankind), for domestic political reasons (considering the considerable influence of the Jewish community on American politics) or for strategic interests in the region (given that several Arab countries have opted to ally themselves with the former USSR and the confrontation with Iran since the establishment of the Islamic Republic), Washington’s support of Israel has been unwavering. A support that comes in the form of powerful military aid and political cover in the U.N.

This does not mean that their relationship has not had its ups and downs. While the U.S. has on countless occasions blocked U.N. initiatives aimed at Israel by wielding its veto power, it also has in a number of significant circumstances — out of exasperation — let its ally down. A famous example would be Resolution 2334 of 2016, which the Barack Obama administration let through and which dealt a tremendous blow to Israeli colonization. This week’s resolution, which the U.S. let pass and which does not even include a condemnation of the Hamas attack, is another strong critical signal. In many other situations the U.S. has bilaterally or even publicly expressed its displeasure with certain Israeli policies, and there is no doubt that unobvious U.S. pressure has achieved significant results in the region in recent history.

But Washington has never given — or allowed to be given — a decisive push to end the occupation, to end colonization, to establish a Palestinian state, to stop military campaigns that might have been even more brutal without its actions, but which in any case have caused atrocious suffering to civilians and, according to many experts, abundant war crimes.

The U.S. is Israel’s great military ally and thus has the most influence over it. If the U.S. were to make this aid conditional on the respect of certain limits, it would probably be very effective, given its fundamental influence over Israel.

Over the decades, Washington’s support has been of enormous quantity and quality, making Israel the powerful military power in the region that it is. In the decade covered by the current Memorandum of Understanding (MOU), which was signed in 2016, Washington plans to provide military aid to Israel to the tune of $38 billion. This represents approximately twice the total annual defense budget of a country like Spain, which is much larger in terms of economy and population than Israel. There are estimates that the total amount of U.S. taxpayer military aid to Israel exceeds $300 billion when adjusted for inflation.

Not only is the quantity enormous: the quality is decisive. The U.S. is pursuing an active policy that seeks to guarantee that Israel will always have a qualitative edge over its adversaries. Thus, for example, Israel was the first country to receive American-made F-35 fighter planes, the most advanced in the world, and the U.S. helped fund and produce the Iron Dome, Israel’s anti-missile defense system.

People gather for a protest against Israel's ongoing military operation in the Gaza Strip, in New York on November 9, 2023.People gather for a protest against Israel’s ongoing military operation in the Gaza Strip, in New York on November 9, 2023.JUSTIN LANE (EFE)

To imagine the U.S. supporting a sanctions initiative at the U.N. for illegal colonization is practically impossible. But what would have happened if the delivery of F-35s and critical parts for Iron Dome had been conditioned on a freeze on colonization, or on the acceptance of a humanitarian pause in the current Gaza conflict?

Europe’s acquiescence

While the responsibility of the U.S. deserves priority consideration in the collective failure of which Borrell speaks, Europe also has a significant share. There are two levels, that of the EU as a bloc, and the national positions of individual states, which obviously influence the former, but also have their own course.

The EU is not a geopolitical or military power, and in that sense it lacks important levers of influence. However, the EU is Israel’s number one trading partner. Last year, 28% of Israel’s trade in goods was with countries in the EU. This is not the same as being an essential supplier of arsenals, but it is not insignificant either. South Africa’s apartheid did not fall by means of hard power, but through enormous diplomatic, commercial, cultural and media pressure.

However, the EU is finding it difficult to articulate common positions on this issue. A late October resolution at the U.N. General Assembly also calling for a humanitarian truce — which passed by 120 votes in favor, 45 abstentions and 14 against, including Israel and the U.S. — is a good illustration of this disjointedness: some EU countries were in favor, a number were against and others abstained.

Specifically, Germany’s Nazi past paralyzes the leading European power on this issue. Having collaborated with Nazi Germany continues to weigh Italy down. And France, the EU’s second-largest power, is home to Europe’s largest Jewish community.

The enormous caution of important countries and internal disagreements explain, at least in part, why the EU has never taken any major action to try to exert influence on Israel. Even measures on the mere labeling of products from occupied and colonized territories have been met with difficulties.

Russia, a Eurasian power, has cultivated increasingly close relations with Israel during Vladimir Putin’s two decades in power. While Russia has never had the type of influence that Western powers have, this policy of rapprochement with Israel has in any case inhibited tangible moves. This is changing, with the ever closer relationship between Moscow and Tehran. Time will tell what the consequences will be.

Benjamin Netanyahu and Vladimir Putin, in 2020 in Moscow.Benjamin Netanyahu and Vladimir Putin, in 2020 in Moscow.MAXIM SHEMETOV (Reuters)

The impotence of the U.N.

This underlying political reality has a major impact on the ability of the United Nations to translate policy statements with overwhelming support into reality on the ground.

The U.N. has instruments to give an executive dimension to its decisions, to influence the actual course of events, such as the deployment of peacekeeping missions — there are currently 12, with 90,000 troops — or the imposition of sanctions which, although with limited effectiveness, do represent a powerful instrument of pressure.

The U.N., moreover, embodied in the 2005 World Summit conclusions the concept of “responsibility to protect,” according to which (art. 138) each state has the responsibility to protect its population from genocide, war crimes, ethnic cleansing and crimes against humanity; and (art. 139) the international community also has the responsibility to protect peoples from such crimes through peaceful means. “In this context, we are prepared to take collective action, in a timely and decisive manner, […] should peaceful means be inadequate and national authorities manifestly fail to protect their populations from genocide, war crimes, ethnic cleansing and crimes against humanity,” reads the article.

The principle has been invoked on some occasions in past international crises (i.e., Libya). In the Gaza conflict, some experts believe that it is not applicable, because it refers to the duty of states to protect their population, and Gazans would not fall into that category vis-à-vis Israel. But others opine that, since the U.N. considers the Strip as being occupied by Israel, the country is responsible for the population residing there.

In any case, by one means or another, any executive action requires a political will that has never been forthcoming, especially given the ironclad protection that the U.S. has provided to its ally in the Security Council.

Conclusions

The Israeli-Palestinian conflict is one of immense complexity that gives rise to disparate political judgments. There are serious responsibilities on both sides. Israel, as an occupying power, has specific responsibilities. As a democracy, it should have moral standards that cannot be expected from an organization such as Hamas, considered terrorist by the EU. Several of its policies have been labeled unlawful by the international community, and many experts consider it to be racking up war crimes. There are no judgments on these cases because Israel is not a party to the Rome Statute and therefore not subject to the International Criminal Court, but after Palestine was admitted as a member a few years ago, investigations have begun and judgments could be forthcoming in the coming years.

In the meantime, the reality is that Israel’s actions, whether considered justified or not, have only been possible because of the active backing of a hegemonic power — the United States — and an executive incapacity of the U.N. largely derived from that backing.

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In Beijing, Arab and Muslim ministers urge end to Gaza war


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BEIJING, Nov 20 (Reuters) – Arab and Muslim ministers called on Monday for an immediate ceasefire in Gaza, as their delegation visited Beijing on the first leg of a tour to push for an end to hostilities and to allow humanitarian aid into the devastated Palestinian enclave.

The delegation, which is set to meet officials representing each of the five permanent members of the U.N. Security Council, is also piling pressure on the West to reject Israel’s justification of its actions against Palestinians as self-defence.

The officials holding meetings with China’s top diplomat Wang Yi on Monday are from Saudi Arabia, Jordan, Egypt, Indonesia, Palestine and the Organisation of Islamic Cooperation, among others.

“We are here to send a clear signal: that is we must immediately stop the fighting and the killings, we must immediately deliver humanitarian supplies to Gaza,” said Saudi Foreign Minister Prince Faisal bin Farhan Al Saud.

The extraordinary joint Islamic-Arab summit in Riyadh this month also urged the International Criminal Court to investigate “war crimes and crimes against humanity that Israel is committing” in the Palestinian territories.

Saudi Arabia has sought to press the United States and Israel for an end to hostilities in Gaza, and Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, the kingdom’s de facto ruler, gathered Arab and Muslim leaders to reinforce that message.

About 240 hostages were taken during Hamas’s deadly cross-border rampage into Israel on Oct. 7, which prompted Israel to invade the Gaza Strip with the intention of eradicating the Islamist militant group.

Gaza’s Hamas-run government said at least 13,000 Palestinians have been killed in Israeli bombardments since then, including at least 5,500 children.

Israeli ambassador to Beijing Irit Ben-Abba told foreign reporters at a briefing on Monday that she hoped there would not be “any statements from this visit about a ceasefire, now is not the time.”

She said that Israel hoped that the delegation would talk about hostages captured by Hamas “and call for their immediate release without preconditions,” adding that the parties involved should talk together about Egypt’s “role in facilitating humanitarian assistance.”

‘BROTHER AND FRIEND’

China’s Wang said Beijing was a “good friend and brother of Arab and Muslim countries,” adding it has “always firmly supported the just cause of the Palestinian people to restore their legitimate national rights and interests.”

Since the start of hostilities, China’s foreign ministry has repeatedly stopped short of condemning Hamas, instead calling for de-escalation and for Israel and Palestine to pursue a “two-state solution” for an independent Palestine.

Since the end of China’s nearly three years of COVID lockdowns, Xi has launched a diplomatic push aimed at countering the United States and its allies, who he says seek to contain and suppress his country.

Beijing has deepened alliances with non-Western led multilateral groups such as the BRICS bloc of nations while strengthening ties with countries in the Middle East and the Global South.

On Monday, Wang added China will work to “quell the fighting in Gaza as soon as possible, alleviate the humanitarian crisis and promote an early, comprehensive, just and lasting settlement of the Palestinian issue.”

China’s special envoy on the Middle East, Zhai Jun, has engaged officials from Israel and the Palestinian Authority – which governs in the occupied West Bank – as well as the Arab League and EU in the last year to discuss a two-state solution and recognition for Palestine at the United Nations.

Reporting by Yew Lun Tian, Laurie Chen and Beijing newsroom; Editing by Edmund Klamann & Simon Cameron-Moore

Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Laurie Chen is a China Correspondent at Reuters’ Beijing bureau, covering politics and general news. Before joining Reuters, she reported on China for six years at Agence France-Presse and the South China Morning Post in Hong Kong. She speaks fluent Mandarin.


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Israel-Gaza war live updates Israel claims footage shows hostages at al-Shifa; Hamas says video is ‘in our favor’


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Israel’s military on Sunday released footage of what it said was Hamas members “forcibly transporting hostages” through al-Shifa Hospital on Oct. 7, citing the video as proof that Hamas used the hospital “on the day of the massacre as terrorist infrastructure.” Hamas, in response, did not dispute that its hostages receive medical treatment and said some had been wounded by Israeli airstrikes. “Caring for prisoners … and offering necessary medical care are points in our favor,” a member of the Hamas political bureau said. The Washington Post could not independently verify when the videos were taken or who the people in them were. The medical director of the Indonesian Hospital in northern Gaza told The Post that there was a strike on the facility early Monday local time, followed by shooting in the direction of the hospital. Ten people were killed and five injured, he said. The media office of the Gaza Health Ministry later said that 12 people were dead. The Post could not independently verify the accounts, and the Israel Defense Forces did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

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History is calling — will we answer?


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Alexis de Tocqueville once described history as “a gallery of pictures in which there are few originals and many copies.” Right now, in contested regions across the world, enemies of freedom and decency are adding new works of horror to this already gruesome gallery.

Some American leaders have risen to the challenge of the moment. One of them, North Carolina’s own US Sen. Thom Tillis, has been a voice of moral clarity and resolve.

In September, for example, Tillis and his Democratic colleague Jeanne Shaheen issued a statement calling the Ukrainian resistance to Vladimir Putin “a fight for democracy and freedom in every corner of the world,” arguing that “if we let authoritarians like Putin dictate the futures of sovereign countries, respect for human rights and democratic values will deteriorate, the global economy will suffer and any autocrats, including Xi Jinping, will be emboldened to follow suit.”

And just last week, Tillis defended Israel’s military operations in Gaza.

“The only two nations in recent history that have consistently welcomed Jews and provided them with a safe home are Israel and the United States,” Tillis wrote in an op-ed. “The only way that can be preserved is by destroying Hamas and rooting out antisemitism here at home.”

Alas, in too many ears, the phrase “never again” lacks the powerful resonance it should invoke. Consider three notorious genocides of the 20th century — and their ominous parallels today.

Shortly after the start of World War I in 1914, the supposedly “modernist” Young Turks, who ran the Ottoman Empire in its last days, embarked on a systemic expulsion of Armenians, Greeks, Assyrians, and other ethnic minorities who’d lived in Asia Minor for countless generations.

The Armenians, in particular, were subjected to forced migration and murder on a massive scale. Of the approximately 1.5 million Armenians then under Ottoman rule, as many as 1.2 million died — either killed outright by Turkish soldiers or marched into the deserts of Syria and Iraq to die of exposure, disease, or starvation.

Two decades later, another ruthless gang massacred another ethnic minority. The culprits were Joseph Stalin and his Communist thugs. The victims were Ukrainians. Some had actively resisted Stalin’s tyranny. Others wanted only to live unmolested in their rural villages.

Although the Communists executed many Ukrainians outright, their primary tool of genocide was starvation. After forcibly collectivizing all agriculture, Russians repeatedly confiscated Ukrainian harvests and used violence to keep peasants from leaving home to find food elsewhere.

Ukrainians call it the Holodomor, the Great Starvation of 1932-1934. Estimates of the death toll vary, but four to five million is a reasonable guess, amounting to about 15% of Ukraine’s population.

At about the same time, Adolph Hitler and his National Socialist Party initiated their own campaign of persecution against the Jews of Germany. Over the next decade, as the scope of Nazi power grew across Europe, so did the breadth and depth of their savagery. Six million Jews — about two-thirds of all the Jews in Europedied during the Holocaust, as did some 3.3 million Soviet prisoners-of-war, 1.8 million Poles, half a million Romani, and hundreds of thousands of other ethnic and religious minorities, political dissenters, and homosexuals.

Here we are, nearly a century later, and what horrors do we confront? In September, the military forces of Azerbaijan, aided by Turkey, invaded the disputed region of Nagorno-Karabakh, forcing some 100,000 Armenians to flee a place their ancestors called home for centuries. In Ukraine, Putin continues his bloody war of conquest, which has already cost hundreds of thousands of lives. And in the Middle East, Jews again face genocidal foes — not just Hamas but their allies in Lebanon, Iran, Yemen, and elsewhere.

This time, however, Jews possess the military might to fight back. And they do not face their foes alone. Most Americans stand, rightly, with them.

“Throughout history,” Sen. Tillis wrote, “we have seen the tragic consequences of what happens when antisemitism is allowed to metastasize. It can never happen again.”

John Hood is a John Locke Foundation board member. His latest books, Mountain Folk and Forest Folk, combine epic fantasy with early American history.


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What does the term ‘genocide’ mean in international law?


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Calls by states to categorise Israeli action in Gaza as genocide are increasing amid appeals for an immediate action to end the carnage. Critics of the Israeli response to the brutal attack by Hamas, which range from the United Nations to Brazil, South Africa and Colombia, have invoked a range of international crimes – genocide, war crimes and crimes against humanity, including ethnic cleansing.

This highlights the urgent need for clarity around what these terms – referred to collectively as atrocity crimes – mean. They are regarded as international crimes primarily because in the past they often went unpunished and were often perpetrated by governments, or with government complicity. Today they are firmly part of international law, and humanity as a whole is seen as the victim.

The term “genocide” was first used in 1944 by an academic of Polish-Jewish origin, Raphael Lemkin, in his book on Nazi crimes in occupied Europe. Later, the UN General Assembly adopted the Convention on the Prevention and Punishment of the Crime of Genocide in 1948, primarily inspired by the extermination of European Jews by the Nazi regime. Article 1 of the convention establishes a general obligation on states that have ratified the convention to prevent and punish genocide. Little heed has been paid to this obligation.

Ireland ‘can and should’ refer Israeli actions in Gaza to ICC, Sinn Féin says ]

Thousands march through Dublin in support of Palestine amid conflict in Gaza ]

The convention defines genocide as specific acts intended to destroy “a national, ethnical, racial or religious group, as such”. These acts include killing members of the group, causing serious bodily or mental harm, and imposing conditions on the group calculated to destroy it. The distinguishing feature of genocide is the intent to destroy the group – and this requirement to demonstrate intent is the most significant legal obstacle to prosecuting this offence.

Deportation or forcible transfer of a population are examples of crimes against humanity and are often referred to as ethnic cleansing

A recent example of ethnic cleansing was the effective expulsion of Armenians from Nagorno-Karabakh following a short but intense military campaign by Azerbaijan last September. This received little media attention but is generally not considered to have amounted to genocide, owing to lack of evidence of an intent to destroy the Armenian population. Nonetheless, the consequences for an estimated 100,000 Armenians driven from their homes have been profound.

The legal definition of genocide has been rightly criticised as too narrow in terms of the groups protected, and of giving rise to a significant evidential burden for proving genocidal intent. Nevertheless, it has been incorporated into a range of international treaties since 1948, most recently the Statute of the International Criminal Court. A number of individuals have been prosecuted for genocide before the international tribunals for the former Yugoslavia, Rwanda and Cambodia. Recent cases before the International Court of Justice concerning allegations of genocide include proceedings in relation to the treatment of the Rohingya in Myanmar and those taken by Ukraine against Russia. A UN commission of inquiry on Syria considered the crimes perpetrated by Islamic State against the Yazidis as genocide, while in Sudan today civilians are at risk from resurgent conflict resembling the earlier Darfur genocide.

The UN Special Adviser on the Prevention of Genocide has warned about the heightened risk of genocide and related atrocity crimes in Ethiopia.

Following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, western officials were quick to depict the Kremlin’s actions as “genocidal”. US president Joe Biden invoked the term in April 2022 in the context of Russia’s mass killing of civilians in the town of Bucha and the extensive bombardment of Mariupol, a city where thousands are believed to have been killed. Russian officials, at the time, blamed Ukraine’s military for using its civilians as “human shields”. The US policy in particular is in stark contrast to that taken in respect of Gaza.

Israel-Hamas war: Al-Shifa Hospital patients and staff leave the compound, Gaza health officials say ]

Israel-Hamas war: Only minor obstacles to hostage deal remain, Qatari PM says ]

How does all of this apply to what is currently happening in Gaza? There is a growing clamour of voices accusing Israel of war crimes, crimes against humanity, ethnic cleansing and genocide. Crimes against humanity – which include ethnic cleansing – are closely related to genocide. While some of the underlying acts for genocide can also be considered as crimes against humanity or war crimes, the challenge with genocide is proving the intent to destroy the Palestinian population of Gaza.

Article 7 of the Statute of the International Criminal Court defines crimes against humanity as certain acts committed as part of a widespread or systematic attack directed against any civilian population. The attack need not be a military operation, but must involve a course of conduct involving the multiple commission of crimes targeting any civilian population. It must also be carried out pursuant to, or in furtherance of, a state or organisational policy.

A group of UN experts has recently warned that there is an ongoing campaign by Israel resulting in crimes against humanity in Gaza

Deportation or forcible transfer of a population are examples of crimes against humanity and are often referred to as ethnic cleansing. This may be defined as rendering an area ethnically homogeneous by using force or intimidation to remove from a given area persons of another ethnic or religious group. Settlement expansion and violence have led to increased claims of ethnic cleansing in the Occupied Palestinian Territory.

A group of UN experts has recently warned that there is an ongoing campaign by Israel resulting in crimes against humanity in Gaza. Considering statements made by Israeli political leaders such as the defence minister Yoav Gallant – “We are imposing a complete siege on [Gaza]… We are fighting human animals, and we act accordingly” – accompanied by military action in Gaza and escalation of arrests and killing in the West Bank, there is also a risk of genocide against the Palestinian people.

The crime of direct and public incitement of genocide also falls within the jurisdiction of the International Criminal Court, which has an active investigation at present. The dehumanising language used by Israeli government officials – combined with the sheer number of Palestinian casualties, mass destruction and displacement – points to possible genocide. Significantly, following the attack by Bosnian Serb forces on the Muslim population at Srebrenica in 1995, it was established that genocide may be committed in a small geographic area such as Gaza against only part of a group. Hamas has also been accused of genocide.

Whatever the categorisation of the crime, international law is only useful if states abide by it. These laws encourage everyone to view one another and each other’s communities as fundamentally human and worthy of dignity and protection. International humanitarian law in particular requires that all parties during armed conflict ensure respect for and protection of the civilian population and civilian objects.

This is clearly not happening in Gaza. Ensuring accountability remains a major challenge for proponents of international law. When international law is violated, there must be sanction and accountability. If other states and individuals stand by and do not call out atrocities for what they are, we are all complicit.

Dr Ray Murphy is a professor at the Irish Centre for Human Rights in the school of law, University of Galway


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Israel-Hamas latest: How conflict could erupt into war with global impact – one not even the US could stop


With tensions in the Middle East at boiling point after Hamas triggered a war with Israel, there are growing risks of uncontrolled escalation – plunging the whole region into conflict.

The US – sensing the danger, in particular from Iran – is ramping up its military presence around Israel, announcing the deployment of additional air defence systems over the weekend on top of two carrier strike groups.

Israel carries out ‘significant’ strike – live updates

But it’s not clear whether even the might of the world’s most powerful military will be enough to prevent a melting pot of competing ambitions among rival factions from erupting into a full-blown Middle East war – one with global consequences.

In fact, no one seems to be in control of what might happen next as Israel moves inexorably to expand its offensive against Palestinian militants inside Gaza.

Israeli leaders understand the dangers but say they have no choice other than to fight after the 7 October Hamas atrocities changed the reality on the ground.

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HAMAS 2:59

How did Hamas pull off attack?

More than 1,400 citizens, mainly civilians, were killed in the carnage in southern Israel and more than 200 people taken hostage, including babies – a move designed to complicate the Israeli response inside Hamas-controlled Gaza.

The fate of more than two million Palestinian civilians who live in the enclave is also a major factor.

Israel accuses Hamas of using them as human shields but every civilian death prompts criticism of Israeli tactics and plays into the militants’ hands.

Read more:
What Hamas’s release of US hostages may mean for Israeli offensive
Sean Bell: Politicians are making Israel-Hamas war worse – not better

Even before an anticipated ground assault into the Palestinian enclave, the war threatens to open new fronts.

Deadly clashes are already erupting in the West Bank, with the Israeli military launching a rare airstrike on the territory in the early hours of Sunday morning, targeting what it described as an “underground terror compound” in a mosque in the town of Jenin.

The area has been the site of heavy gun battles between Palestinian militants and Israeli forces over the past year – when the threat from the West Bank was regarded as greater than the one from Gaza.

That all changed on 7 October, but the West Bank remains a flashpoint.

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A Palestinian boy checks the damage at a mosque which was hit in an Israeli air strike, in Jenin refugee camp in the Israeli-occupied West Bank October 22, 2023. REUTERS/Raneen Sawafta 0:41

Israeli airstrike hits mosque in West Bank

Could another militant group enter war?

Israeli troops are also locked in clashes on their northern border with Lebanon, where Iranian-backed Hezbollah militants have been increasing their attacks against Israel in a sign they are seeking to exploit the crisis.

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, visiting troops massed at the border, said he could not tell whether Hezbollah would decide to enter the war.

But if the group did, he warned: “He will make the mistake of his life.

“We will cripple him with a force he cannot even imagine and the meaning for him and the state of Lebanon is devastating.”

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Still from Stuart Ramsay report from the West Bank October 20 2023. A protester is shot 2:30

What protests on the West Bank look like

And what of Iran?

Yet Israel is increasingly stretched and Hezbollah has powerful allies, most notably Iran, which is also closely aligned with Russia.

Tehran will be watching the turmoil engulfing its enemy closely and planning its next move.

As well as backing Hezbollah, Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) is known to provide financial and military support to Hamas as well as other militias in the region.

There has not yet been clear proof the Iranians played a direct role in the planning and execution of the 7 October attack but – either way – they would doubtless be seeking to exploit Israel’s vulnerability.

A uniquely perilous conflict

In another potential frontline, Syrian media have reported a series of Israeli missile strikes against airports inside Syria, also closely allied with Iran and Hezbollah.

Israel has not commented publicly on the claims but has in the past struck Hezbollah targets inside Syria.

Each single point of friction is dangerous, but the combination of such a combustible mixture of elements is uniquely perilous and unpredictable.

One thing is clear – Israel is in no mood to ceasefire as long as the threat from Hamas remains.