U.S. stock index futures were lackluster on Monday as concerns over interest rates staying higher for longer kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, while investors awaited economic data and Federal Reserve policymakers’ remarks throughout the week.
The S&P 500 (.SPX) and the Nasdaq (.IXIC) registered their largest weekly percentage drop since March on Friday, as benchmark Treasury yields hit multi-year highs while investors digested the Fed’s hawkish outlook revisions.
The three benchmark indexes, including the Dow (.DJI), were also eyeing their first quarterly declines so far this year heading into the last days of the September quarter.
Just a few days after the Fed’s decision to let its key rate stand and likely keep restrictive policy in place for longer than previously anticipated, some policymakers warned of further hikes as they doubt if the inflation battle is over.
Uncertainty around the trajectory for interest rates, including a potential hike by year-end and expectations for fewer cuts next year, have pushed the 10-year Treasury yield to a 16-year high, hurting growth stocks.
Alphabet (GOOGL.O), Nvidia (NVDA.O), Tesla (TSLA.O) and Meta Platforms (META.O) remained under pressure on Monday, losing between 0.3% and 0.6% in premarket trading.
Investors will now monitor data on durable goods and the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index for August, second-quarter GDP, and remarks by Fed policymakers including Chair Jerome Powell through the course of the week.
Traders’ bets on the benchmark rate remaining unchanged in November and December stood at 74% and 59%, respectively, according to CME’s FedWatch tool.
“Powell’s hawkish tone at last week’s FOMC meeting was backed by similar comments from other Fed officials on Friday, dampening hopes of a quick end to restrictive policy even if rates have peaked,” said Raffi Boyadjian, lead investment analyst at brokerage XM.
Investors also assessed other risks including high oil prices, a resumption of student loan payments in October and a government shutdown that is set to begin if lawmakers are unable to pass a budget by Sept. 30.
At 7:03 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were down 13 points, or 0.04%, S&P 500 e-minis were down 1.75 points, or 0.04%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 11 points, or 0.07%.
Media firms Warner Bros Discovery (WBD.O), Paramount Global (PARA.O), Netflix (NFLX.O) and Walt Disney (DIS.N) gained between 0.8% and 1.6% after Hollywood’s writers union reached a preliminary labor agreement with major studios on Sunday, a deal expected to end one of two strikes that have halted most film and television production.
HP Inc (HPQ.N) dipped 2.7% after Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway (BRKa.N) sold nearly 4.8 million shares of the PC maker.
Footwear maker Nike (NKE.N) and sportswear retailer Foot Locker <FL.N> lost 1.3% and 2.7% after Jefferies downgraded both the stocks to “hold” from “buy”.
U.S.-listed shares of Chinese firm
dipped ahead of a week-long holiday in the world’s second largest economy. Shares of Alibaba , PDD Holdings (PDD.O), Baidu and JD.com fell between 1.2% and 2.9%.
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